Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions
The Chicago Cubs (32-48) continue their 3-game series with the Milwaukee Brewers (47-35) Tuesday at American Family Field with the 1st pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Cubs vs. Brewersodds with MLB picks and predictions.
Milwaukee took Monday's series opener 5-2 in extra innings with a 3-run walk-off home run in the bottom of the 10th by 1B-C Victor Caratini.
The Brewers lead the season series with the Cubs 6-5 and have a plus-11 run differential in those meetings.
Cubs at Brewers projected starters
RHP Kyle Hendricks vs. RHP Jason Alexander
Hendricks is 4-6 with a 4.76 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 81 1/3 IP over 15 starts.
- Last start: Won 15-7 Thursday at home vs. the Cincinnati Reds with 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 7 K.
- 2022 vs. the Brewers: 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 18 H, 3 HR, 6 BB and 10 K in 3 starts.
Alexander is 2-0 with a 3.82 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 4.4 K/9 in 30 2/3 IP over 5 starts and 2 relief appearances in his rookie season.
- Last start: Won 6-4 Thursday at home vs. the St. Louis Cardinals with 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 5 K.
- 2022 home splits: 2-0 with a 4.22 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 13 H, 1 HR, 4 BB and 6 K in 2 starts.
Cubs at Brewers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:41 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML) : Cubs +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Cubs +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U) : 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Cubs at Brewers picks and predictions
Cubs 6, Brewers 5
BET the CUBS (+105) because the oddsmakers are begging us to bet the Brewers (-130) at this price point considering they are 14 games in front of the Cubs in the NL Central and 21-9 vs. Chicago since the start of last year.
But the Brewers are just 6-5 vs. the Cubs this year, Chicago's lineup and bullpen are fairly equal to Milwaukee's and Hendricks is the better starter. Hendricks is outperforming Alexander by K/BB rate (11.7-1.4%), hard-hit rate (42.2-38.7%) and exit velocity (88.7-87.4 mph), per FanGraphs.
Finally, early sharp action is on the Cubs and has dragged Milwaukee's ML from a -141 opener down to the current number, according to Pregame.com.
BET 0.75 units on the CUBS (+105).
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There are a lot of solid trends suggesting the Cubs +1.5 (-190) are the way to go here and 6 of the 12 Cubs-Brewers meetings this season have been decided by at least 2 runs.
However, Chicago's RL is just out of my price range and the Brewers -1.5 (+155) are a respectable 14-17 RL as home favorites.
LEANOVER 8.5 (-122) because that appears to be the sharp side since nearly three-fourths of the action is on the Under 8.5 (-102) according to Pregame.com. Also, Cubs-Brewers are 6-2 O/U in their last 8 meetings in Milwaukee and both lineups are raking over the last 2 weeks.
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